Out of Africa
Africa has been much in the news lately, much of it bad news. But this week's Washington summit brought some good news too. Most of us think of the continent as an all around basket case and with some justification. Africa remains home to an alarming number of the desperately poor, many of them without access to electricity, clean drinking water, effective public health infrastructure, or much in the way of schools.
But the summit put a spotlight on some remarkable progress over the last twenty years or so. Economic growth has averaged almost 5%. Extreme poverty is down in percentage terms, though with a growing population the absolute numbers are still up. Infant mortality is down. Anti malaria and aids campaigns put in place by George W. Bush have had dramatic results and to his credit Barak Obama has continued and expanded them.
Foreign aid is notoriously inefficient and wasteful but there are some other success stories there. Millions of Africans have electricity today they wouldn't have without aid. An Electrify Africa bill passed the US House with over whelming bipartisan support but is bogged down in the Senate over global warming concerns. Some senators want funding restricted to green energy projects. That's misguided. Bjorn Lomborg, the "skeptical environmentalist", estimates that $10 billion spent on green energy could lift 10 million Africans out of poverty, but that same $10 billion spent on gas based electricity could lift 90 million people out of poverty, a ratio of 9 to 1.
Global warming alarmism gets in the way in other areas too. Secretary of State John Kerry frets that expanding Africa's food supply will have a high carbon footprint. Tell that to the mother of a malnourished child with respiratory problems from cooking on an indoor fire using dung for fuel.
In any case foreign aid is a relatively small part of the solution. The big payback comes from better governance. Schools have been getting better in Africa, and accessible to more children, especially girls. That brings with it all sorts of benefits, as the West has long recognized. Less corruption and improved rule of law are attracting more investment. As President Obama correctly points out, foreign trade is increasing rapidly, but has made little progress within the continent. It is easier for Ghana to sell its produce in China than in Nigeria. Reducing barriers to intracontinental trade could produce an immediate and lasting burst of prosperity.
It could also produce a peace dividend. Protecting lucrative trade routes can be a powerful incentive for resolving international disputes amicably, and for maintaining internal security.
It is in our best interest to see progress in Africa continue. A more prosperous Africa is not only a more attractive trading partner, it is also more able to put in place the sorts of public health infrastructure that will make outbreaks of infectious disease more easily contained. Then we can all breathe a little easier.
None of this is assured and there is a lot that could go wrong. A lot is going wrong and there is every reason to expect that to continue. But for all the genocidal massacres, the implosion in Libya, Ebola, and Boko Haram, Africa has made progress. There is also every reason for optimism the progress will continue, maybe even accelerate.
Africa isn't going to become South America any time soon but it could happen. It may take several generations, but a generation ago who would have thought we would be hosting this kind of Summit in Washington this week? Who would have thought so much of it would be a celebration of progress? Who would have expected good news out of Africa?

